This is CAPITOL HILL in Washington, D.C. Majestic. Powerful. It's beautiful!
This is THE PLACE where the present and future of our country is planned and managed and executed. To be there one feels the power and energy oozing from the brick and mortar and granite from which it's built.
Every citizen of these United States needs to visit this iconic place at least once. Not only to see it, but to feel it. It is an experience like no other. It is history. It is the here and now. And it is the future of a great land and a great people. It is America!
Having said that, our regular readers know we're political junkies of the first degree. We are addicted to politics. Federal, State, Local. Name it and we'll be there.
These past months we've focused on a few specific Federal and State races we see as bell weathers for the nation in these mid-year elections. We've also given our sometimes caustic, sometimes flat out nasty, sometimes serious and sometimes parodied brands of commentary about the condition of that which is THE AMERICAN POLITIC today. We've taken some very candid positions on both candidates and issues. Positions based on validated facts based on our research and knowledge.
Could we sometimes be in error? Yes! Should facts based on validated evidence change, we can easily change our positions as well. We are not ideologues.
Simply, we base what we say on hard evidence and then present our findings in sometimes silly, but hopefully meaningful thoughts. That's not to say everything we write is meaningful.
Sometimes it gets down to just some silly stuff. We like silly stuff every once in a while. For example, almost anything 'palin' is silly stuff. Witness the 19 year old 'Bristol' who has taken time away from her public relations empire and political consulting firm to do a stint on Dancing With The Stars. Now 'that's silly'!
Are the 2010 mid-year elections over now? On the day before the polls open? Should we not wait for all the votes to be counted and for Miss Piggy to sing before we move on to the positioning and political drama that's sure to be in 2012? We think we can not only make some educated predictions about tomorrows election outcomes, but also say it's over for this 2010 election cycle.
All 435 members of the House of Representatives are up for election tomorrow. In 2006, and again in 2008, the Democrats made significant gains in the House and have controlled it since 2006. Given what we've seen in the composite reputable polls and 'trending models' across the country we can predict with some accuracy the Republicans will gain control of the 'House'.
In the Senate, we predict the Democrats will remain in control of this chamber. There will be some losses for the Democrats. Possibly even Harry Reid, the senate's majority leader. But the the numbers just don't add up for the Republicans in this unsettled election year. It would take a miracle for the Republicans to take control of the Senate. And Joe Miller's and Christine O' Donnell's fundamentalist Christian God is not nodding in their direction right now.
With the exception of California, we'll not mention other State offices up for election in this cycle with this article. (We'll give some analysis and commentary on some of these after Miss Piggy actually sings tomorrow night).
There is one caveat to our 'point prediction'. Whitman has assembled the most sophisticated (and expensive) and complex 'get out the vote' instruments ever invented which will be in a 'test run' tomorrow. She still can't win. But it will be interesting to see the results of this technical work.
The races for Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General are toss ups. Too close to call with hard evidence in our faces. We will, however, cautiously predict a Democrat win in the LG race and a Republican win in the AG race. The polls and 'trending' we have make these predictions 'iffy' at best. We also predict career politician Tom Torlickson, who's 'termed out' in countless elected offices, will take the important Insurance Commissioner election.
So, here they are. Our (limited in number) predictions for tomorrows elections. Check us out on Wednesday to see how we did.
|(Carly and Meg with Clint who DID NOT Contribute to their campaigns)|